Analysis
Climate Change
Our position
Climate change is real, caused by human greenhouse gas emissions and land use change, and a wicked problem that will be managed rather than solved. But representations of climate change as an existential threat to humanity have broken loose from scientific assessments. Long-run emissions trends track macroeconomic forces and technological change, not the stringency of climate rhetoric or targets. Weather-related disaster impacts upon humans and the economy hinge far more upon wealth, resilient infrastructure, and government capacity than they do upon the level of warming, emphasizing the critical importance of adaptation measures and human development. Catastrophism persists not because the evidence demands it or because of any meaningful political results it produces, but because professional incentives and political identity reward vivid rhetoric.
Start here
Three pieces the team says to read first
Ten Words You Can't Say About Climate Change
There Is No Climate Tipping Point
Analysis
Do Climate Attribution Studies Tell the Full Story?
Climate Change work
Research, analysis and everything we have put on the record: comments, testimony, statements, letters and endorsements.
Showing 37–42 of 79
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Analysis
A Second Trump Presidency Is an Opportunity for Climate Science to Reset
Rather than doubling down on the misguided notion that science is an authority that can fully dictate policy, scientists should strive to delineate between strict scientific facts and their political preferences.
· Patrick Brown
Analysis
Defending Economic Productivity and Capitalism for Climate Adaptation and Mitigation - Part 2
Contrary to being a liability for adapting to and eventually solving climate change, economic productivity undergirded by private property, markets, and prices - is our primary asset.
· Patrick Brown
Analysis
On Cockroaches, The Climate Movement, and Democracy
Why the Escalating Rhetoric and Tactics of the Climate Movement, Sooner or Later, Is Likely to End in Political Violence
· Ted Nordhaus
Analysis
Vermont’s Fossil Fuel Shakedown
The Climate Superfund Act Is Heavy on Discourse, Light on Logic
· Jessica Weinkle
37–42 of 79
Who to talk to
Ted Nordhaus
Founder and President Email
Latest: The Original Environmental Economist: RIP Uncle Bill
Questions
Is climate change real?
Yes. Earth’s global average temperature is warming, primarily because human activities have increased atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations.
How much of climate change is caused by humans?
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) concludes that essentially all observed global warming since the late 19th century is attributable to human influence. Greenhouse gas emissions have caused substantial net warming that dwarfs the effects from natural factors.
Can climate change be reversed?
Climate change can be slowed and eventually stabilized through decarbonization. However, due to the long residence time of carbon dioxide and some other greenhouse gases in the Earth’s atmosphere, reversing climate change after stabilization has been achieved will be very difficult without carbon removal at vast scales.
Will the world still be livable in 2050?
Climate change will create serious challenges but will not make the world uninhabitable by 2050. Pathways for the Earth’s future warming diverge relatively later in the 21st century, such that climate and weather variability in 2050 will feel relatively indistinguishable in most regions from the climate of today.